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#1 Inference and Learning with Model Uncertainty in Probabilistic Logic Programs [PDF] [Copy] [Kimi]

Authors: Victor Verreet ; Vincent Derkinderen ; Pedro Zuidberg Dos Martires ; Luc De Raedt

An issue that has so far received only limited attention in probabilistic logic programming (PLP) is the modelling of so-called epistemic uncertainty, the uncertainty about the model itself. Accurately quantifying this model uncertainty is paramount to robust inference, learning and ultimately decision making. We introduce BetaProbLog, a PLP language that can model epistemic uncertainty. BetaProbLog has sound semantics, an effective inference algorithm that combines Monte Carlo techniques with knowledge compilation, and a parameter learning algorithm. We empirically outperform state-of-the-art methods on probabilistic inference tasks in second-order Bayesian networks, digit classification and discriminative learning in the presence of epistemic uncertainty.